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Dollar Rises as Central Banks Prepare to Submit Policy Decisions

by Didimax Team

The dollar rose Monday morning in Asia. The yen hit a new five-year low as central banks prepared to drop their policy throughout the week. The US Dollar Index which tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies was up 0.06% at 99.245.

The dollar contract rolls over to the June 22 contract on March 13. Hopes that the conversation between Russia and Ukraine to start a conflict that began with the February 24 invasion are fed up with safe-haven currencies like the yen and Swiss franc.

US Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman said on Sunday that there may be signs that Russia is offering to start negotiations to invade Ukraine. However, fighting in the ongoing conflict began on February 24.

The dollar rose to 117.61 yen earlier, its highest level since January 2017, up from a week earlier that Barclays PLC analysts saw reduced demand for safe havens as equities strengthened.

The BOJ's dovish bias, in contrast to the Fed's expected hikes, will continue to support the dollar-yen despite the negative impact of trading terms from high energy costs, no apparent resistance to late-2016 highs of 118.6.

 

Movement Of Some Currencies Against the Ruble

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to maintain its dovish stance when it makes its decision on Friday. The Fed, on the other hand, is expected to raise interest rates when it drops its decision on Wednesday.

The Bank of England (BOE) will also downgrade its policy decision, with bets firmly on a further 25 basis point rate hike. How the Fed and ECB rate hikes will affect the pound will be heavily relied on in their post-meeting statement and Fed press conference.

With the UK more exposed to Russian supply shocks than the US, we think the risk lies in disappointment by the BOE and a weaker pound further down from 1.2894. The euro, at $1.0935 in hopes of an end to the conflict in Ukraine, provided a small boost.

However, the impact of the conflict on the growth of the eurozone keeps the single currency. Commodity-linked currencies, such as the Australian and New Zealand dollars, retreated from multi-year highs hit in March on soaring oil, grain, and metal prices.

The US dollar rose significantly early Monday in Asia, with the euro falling to a new 22-month low against the dollar and hitting multi-year lows against rivals such as the yen, Swiss franc, and pound.

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine is pushing up commodity prices and triggering a shock that will deal the worst blow in Europe. The euro was down 0.6% at $1.0864 earlier in the session, its lowest point since May 2020, and is on its way to 2020 lows around $1.0636.

News of US Dollar Rivals and Other Commodities

The currency for Europe also fell below the price of one Swiss franc, hitting the 0.9982 area point for the first time since the franc exited the euro reference in 2015.

For crude oil futures prices, which soared more than 20% last week, were up close to 10% as the US and Europe wanted to import anything from Russia.

The military geopolitical conflict in Ukraine escalated over the weekend, as some attempts at weapons to support residents fleeing the city of Mariupol have failed so far.

The euro also fell to its lowest level in 15 months at 124.78 yen and hit its lowest level since mid-2016 against the pound at 82.23 pence In the Asia Pacific region, the Australian dollar rose 0.3% to its highest level. in the last four months.

Spot prices for all Australian coal commodities are up more than 70% in about a week as buyers look for alternatives to Russian energy, and wheat has also gained around 50% since early February.

The greenback was also up against the yen and Swiss franc and was last up about 0.4% per franc and was about 0.3% higher against the yen.