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Dollar Strengthens Over the Weekend as Euro Weakens

by Didimax Team

On Friday the dollar rose in Asia, while also registering the second week of gains against the euro. Then now the focus is on when the central bank has started raising interest rates. This is a response to rising inflation.

It is known that the US Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against several other currencies, edged up 0.12% to 95.657.

Then there is the USD/JPY pair which edged up 0.1% to 114.36 which coincided with Japan's national consumer price index (CPI) and the second national core CPI growing by 0.1% Year of Year (YoY) in October 2021.

Then there is the pair AUD/USD which experienced a slight decline of 0.06% to 0.7275. There is still the NZD/USD pair which edged up 0.02% to 0.7037.

Meanwhile, the USD/CNY pair edged up 0.01% to 6.3586 and the GPB/USD pair fell 0.01% to 1.3486. Today's forex news mentions that the forecast for the Bank of England (BoE) to raise interest rates is increasing.

 

The Euro and Dollar Movement Forecast

This is expected to be done in December, and due to rising inflation to the highest level in 10 years in October. In the past week, indeed the Euro weakened at 0.6%.

This makes the dollar is at its highest level in the last 16 months. The figure was trading at 1.1372 after earlier weakening at 1.1263. According to investors, this figure is still vulnerable due to unstable fundamentals and positions, thus making the dollar rise.

In addition, bets have also increased on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. This has an impact on the monetary policy of Hawkins who plans to raise interest rates by 50 points or bps. This will likely happen when we meet next week.

The interest rate market remains concerned, thus favoring two-year swaps at their most recent highs this year. Then when the time comes, the tomb will place a bid on the back of the kiwi.

The dollar rose early Friday in Asia and is poised to post the second week of gains against the monetary unit. The focus now is when the central bank will start raising interest rates in response to rising inflation.

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies, edged up 0.12% to 95.657 by 23:55 ET (04:55 GMT). Bets that the Bank of England will raise interest rates in December increased as inflation rose to a 10-year high in October.

Euro Weakness Pushes Dollar to Strengthen

The euro fell 0.6% over the past week, pushing the dollar to a 16-month high. It last listed at 1.1372 once falling to $1.1263 earlier however remains vulnerable as fundamentals and positions swing to support the greenback, in keeping with investors.

The previous post-global money crisis once the monetary unit listed below $1.10 was during massive monetary unit short positions, Societe Generale (OTC: SCGLY) strategian Kit Juckes told Reuters.

Several central bank governors, including European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde, Bank of England economist Huw Pill and the US Federal Reserve's Christopher Waller, Richard Clarida, and Mary Daly, will speak later.

Bets also are rising on the Federal Reserve Bank of latest Seeland imposing a hawkish financial policy which will raise interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) once it meets next week.

Interest rate markets remained tense, and therefore the information pushed the biennial swap to a brand new high for the year, and successively, place the bids on the rear of the kiwi, ANZ Bank analysts same in an exceedingly note.

With a price increase of 36 bps for next week and a price of 198 bps over the next eight meetings, the local market could prepare for real disappointment if we 'only' get a 25-bps increase, as we expected.