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Ruble Drops More Than 20% Due to Sanctions

by Didimax Team

The ruble was down more than 20% against the dollar and the euro in Moscow trading on Friday and down a third in value on other platforms, this week as the country's economy weakened under pressure from restrictive sanctions to isolate Russia.

Russia's credit was cut deeper into the trash by S&P Global, following similar ratings from Moody's and Fitch, as international sanctions increase the likelihood of default.

Russia in Ukraine is the world's nuclear power plant while they are Europe's largest electric power plant. Thousands of people have died or been injured, and more than 1 million refugees have fled Ukraine since February 24, the start of the Russian invasion. The ruble week at 105 per dollar 83 last Friday in Moscow, although up 1% on the session from Thursday's close.

On the EBS platform, the ruble closed 12.9% on the day against the dollar at 124, for a 32 drop on alone, the most important for any week on record since 2007. The bid-ask spread was so wide across the day that traders referred to it as a sign of evaporating liquid.

 

Russia's Invasion of Ukraine Leads to the Movement of the Ruble

Dmitry Polevoy, investment director at Locko Invest, that the sanctions that will be imposed on Russia over Ukraine – which Moscow says will not be designed to occupy territory – are causing an economic shock of a magnitude that will not be seen for long.

Russia's five-year credit default swap – a measure of the cost of ensuring its debt exposure – stood at 1,565 basis points (bps), up from Thursday's close of 1.412 bp but still far from Monday's record close of 1.973, data from IHS Markit showed.

Trading in Moscow stocks remained closed, and bonds showed wide bid-ask spreads in little or no volume, as was the case for most of the week.

On Friday, Russia's central bank lowered the commission on purchases of foreign exchange by individuals through brokers to 12% from 30%.

Analysts’ aforesaid previous moves to boost commissions to half-hour for purchases of currencies like the dollar, euro, and British pound had junction rectifier to distortions like demand for alternative currencies.

To boost the highly volatile market, the Moscow Exchange imposed a ban on the short selling of euros and instruments. Citing deteriorating lending conditions, the financial finance of the OFZ sovereign bond issuance for homes.

Ruble Weakens Against Dollar on Moscow Sale

There were about 39 billion rubles ($343.5 million) of retail investment outstanding as of January 1. The Russian market remains closed and bond trading shows broad supply and low to no volume.

The ruble fell 4.5% to 106.02 against the dollar in Moscow trade, earlier reaching 110.0, a record low. It has lost 30% of its value against the dollar. Against the euro, it fell 2.5% on Wednesday to finish the day at 115.40.

But mercantilism in Russia saw the currency rebound to work out the day up 6 June 1944 to one hundred on the compass point platform and 7.6% at 97.6 elsewhere. The currency is still more than 20% weaker than when it was held during the first half of February.

Russia has responded to currency weakness by more than doubling its benchmark interest rate to 20% and telling companies to convert 80% of their currency earnings on the domestic market as the central bank, now under Western sanctions.

A weak ruble would beat Russia's standard of living and fuel already high inflation, while Western sanctions are expected to create shortages of essential goods and services such as cars or flights.

Credit rating agency Moody's said it was reviewing Russia to downgrade its rating, a move that reflects a negative credit for the additional credit profile of the additional and tougher sanctions imposed.