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USD Prepares to Record Its Worst Drop this Month

by Didimax Team

The USD was reportedly sinking and seemed poised to record its worst weekly value in a month on Friday. That thing was seen from the data and movement in the market. The major currencies have slumped to their lowest level in nine months against the safe-haven yen. 

That remains the case even though investors have been devouring risky assets all week. The dollar still fell to multi-year lows against several other currencies such as the euro, kiwi, pound, Aussie, and also The Canadian dollar. The euro has risen by almost about 3% in three weeks.

It has happened since the Euro broke through strong resistance at $1.2000. At $1.2254, after small profit-taking last Friday, there is potential for a 2018 peak at $1.2556. Below is more information about the dollar's decline lately in the market.

 

Data of Australian Dollar Rises

The Australian currency, which is also taking small profits, is set to experience its seventh consecutive weekly gain. It is a streak that has brought it 9 percent higher since early November. The combination turned out to be perfect for 'attacking' the USD today.

This was conveyed by Rodrigo Catril, senior currency strategist at National Australia Bank in Sydney. The situation is because U.S. interest rates are fairly low and better returns are expected elsewhere. For now, the growth narrative is happening globally. 

The expansion of the recovery is also occurring more widely. That factor supports risk-sensitive currencies such as the Aussie and kiwi. In addition, more of the same is expected to happen in 2021. The New Zealand dollars were rising to a two-and-a-half-year high of $0.7170.

That came on Thursday after better-than-expected national growth data. The data has been up for eight straight weeks. This is the longest weekly increase in three years. Of course many expect a positive note to continue.

The Current Dollar Condition

Against several other currencies, the dollar was in the range of 89.862 on Friday. Data showed that the currency was just above a 2-1/2-year low on Thursday. Its index has also reportedly fallen as much as 1.2% for the week so far.

If calculated globally, the USD has fallen by 12.7% from its three-year peak in March. For information, the Greenback traded at 103.28 yen. That was after falling as far as 102.88 yen overnight. Furthermore, there are several other factors why the dollar is slumping lately.

The examples are news in recent days about the launch of vaccines and the existence of progress in Brexit trade talks. In addition, negotiations on U.S. stimulus have also made the dollar even more sinking. It is possible that a Brexit deal could be reached before Christmas.

If that thing happened, the Kiwis will be unstoppable. That was stated by an analyst of ANZ in a note on Friday. Britain and the EU itself gave a bad signal about a possible deal on Thursday. However, investors are betting that it is still on the threshold.

The Newest Update in the Market

So far, the pound sits comfortably at $1.3554 after reaching its highest level in 31 months overnight. That currency still has the possibility to have a better movement in the future. That can happen to other commodities in the market right now. 

The Bank of Japan has now concluded a two-day policy meeting on Friday. The move is expected to keep interest rates fixed, but further strengthen the extension of a package of measures aimed at easing concerns about corporate funding.

German sentiment surveys and U.S. consumer sentiment data will be released soon. It is especially on Friday. The investors hoped that the result was good enough for the market’s future. It is for sure that the result is awaited by many market participants.